KCRG TV First Alert Forecast
KCRG TV9 FIRST ALERT FORECAST FOR TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 21, 2017
TODAY: MOSTLY SUNNY AND MILD. RECORD HIGH’S POSSIBLE. HIGH 64. SOUTHWEST
WIND 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 41.
TOMORROW: SUNNY, BREEZY AND WARM. ALL-TIME FEBRUARY RECORD HIGHS ARE
POSSBILE. HIGH 69. SOUTHWEST WIND 10-20 MPH.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:
A CHANCE OF RAIN THURSDAY, RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY FRIDAY, DRY SATURDAY. HIGH’S IN THE 50’S THURSDAY, THE 40’S FRIDAY, THE 30’S SATURDAY. LOW’S IN THE 30’S & 40’S.
MISSISSIPPI RIVER STAGE AT DUBUQUE: 9.9 FEET & RISING
All good things must come to an end, so we’re saying goodbye to the record setting warmth later this week and bringing back typical February weather. Since last Friday, Cedar Rapids has broken three daily record highs, as well as the longest streak of 60 degrees or warmer days in the month of February. Iowa City has broken 4 daily records, while Dubuque has broken 3, and Waterloo set 2 new records. There’s likely more to come through Wednesday, but then our weather pattern takes a big turn back towards winter. A cold front will move through eastern Iowa on Wednesday evening, and will drop our temperatures down into the 40s and 50s for Thursday. This is still mild for February standards, but much closer to normal conditions. On Thursday night and Friday, a strong area of low pressure will move through eastern Iowa, bringing rain and a few thunderstorms. On Friday night, as the low moves east, colder air will be pulled down into the region from the north. This will change the rain over to snow. As it looks now, only minor accumulations are possible, with slightly higher totals in our far northwest counties. Now that the ground has been warmed considerably, much of the snow that falls will melt or compact. Winds will also be strong with this system, as they may gust up to 40 mph Thursday night through early Saturday. Bundle up on Saturday and Sunday, as high temperatures will only be in the 20s and 30s. This is slightly below normal, and close to 40 degrees cooler than our highs this Wednesday. With the strong winds on Saturday morning, wind chills could be in the single digits, if not colder.
It’s been a historically warm month with records being broken on a daily basis since late last week. The peak of this heat streak arrives on Wednesday when temperatures could be warmest ever in over 120 years of records. The sunshine returns on Tuesday, along with near record temperatures in the low to upper 60s, from north to south, across eastern Iowa. Here are the daily record highs for Tuesday, February 21st: Cedar Rapids 68 in 1930 Dubuque 63 in 1930 Iowa City 69 in 1930 Waterloo 65 in 1930 On Wednesday, the warmth ramps up for one more day before we head back to reality. Temperatures may soar into the 70s for the majority of eastern Iowa, meaning daily records will likely be broken. Below is a list of record highs for Wednesday, February 22nd. Cedar Rapids 64 in 1984 Dubuque 61 in 1984 Iowa City 63 in 1922 Waterloo 61 in 1984 On top of the daily records, all-time February highs may also be in jeopardy. That means we could reach the warmest high temperatures ever recorded in February. Records go back over 120 years in some locations. Here are the all-time warmest high temperatures ever recorded in February: Cedar Rapids 73 in 1921 Dubuque 66 in 2000 Iowa City 74 in 2017 Waterloo 71 in 1921
High temperatures will be pushing near record once again today. Expect highs to top out into the upper 60s for the majority of eastern Iowa. We’ll see more sunshine early then partly sunny skies throughout the afternoon. Winds will be out of the southeast at roughly 5 to 10 mph. Get outdoors today and enjoy the fantastic April like weather. Tonight we’ll be extremely mild for this time of year with lows dropping into the upper 40s and low 50s. A few clouds move into eastern Iowa throughout the overnight hours, we’ll call it partly cloudy. Our next system rolls in bringing the chance of a few showers early Monday morning. Better chances for rain and even a rumble of thunder will arrive throughout late morning and afternoon on Monday. Rainfall totals will stay around 0.5” to 0.75”. Locally higher amounts are possible if you happen to get under a heavier shower or storm. Temperatures will remain mild throughout Monday afternoon. Well above normal temperatures are in the forecast through Wednesday. Next weekend things will change back to what they should be with highs in the 40s and 30s and the chance for snow.
Here we go again with the warmer weather. Temperatures were already warm this morning, in the upper 30s and low 40s. We’ll warm up even more for the afternoon with highs expected to top out into the upper 50s and low 60s. Yes, we aren’t as warm as we were yesterday. That’s all thanks to a cold front that will change wind directions for a short time. Winds will blow of the northwest for a short time, but soon switch back to a southerly flow moving into Sunday. Mostly clear to partly sunny skies will stick around for the end of weekend and temperatures will rise back into the middle to upper 60s. We could potentially come close to breaking record for some Sunday afternoon. A better chance of breaking record highs will arrive on Monday, as temperatures will warm into the middle to upper 60s once again. Rain chances become likely late Sunday, but are more likely Monday. A few rumbles of are possible. Rainfall totals look to reach near 0.5” to 0.75” under heavier rain showers and storms.
No doubt, you’ve been hearing through many newscasts, and many 9-day forecasts, as well as tons of social posts about the incoming warmup. It’s safe to say, it’s here on time and on schedule. However, what you may not know about this is how it may compare to the major February warmup of 1930. The question now is – can we beat that? Back in 1930, Cedar Rapids hit 60 degrees or warmer from February 18th through February 25th. The only day within that stretch that didn’t hit 60 was February 22nd. Overall, the 1930 February event contained 7 days with highs of 60 or more. This run of warm air is incredibly similar. In fact, with today being the 17th and next Thursday still having the potential to be warm, our run may go from the 17th to the 24th. This is nearly the same time as the 1930 event – right down to the day. I love looking back at this kind of stuff. I really think these patterns can recycle over time, but they all have slightly different flavors to them.